P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Nathan Cleary
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
13.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
13.5
L5
11.8
L10
13.1
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12BRIMar 0620CROMar 1412SYDMar 2010PARMar 2818MELApr 0310CBYApr 0913DOLApr 17☂20NEWApr 2620MANMay 039CBRMay 1010SGIMay 1714WSTJun 079NQLJun 277BRIJul 16☂19PARJul 23?MELJul 3113.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nathan101.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nathan2.5
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nathan20.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Nathan0.3
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nathan1.3
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nathan0.8
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nathan1.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nathan21.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park15.0(2)-0.7
Everywhere else15.7(107)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.7(9)-4.4
Dry games16.1(100)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.