P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Nathan Cleary
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
0.5 LBAO —U —
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
1.2
L10
1.1
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 201PARMar 282MELApr 030CBYApr 091DOLApr 17☂1NEWApr 261MANMay 032CBRMay 102SGIMay 172WSTJun 070NQLJun 270BRIJul 16☂2PARJul 23?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nathan101.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nathan2.5
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nathan20.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Nathan0.3
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nathan1.3
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nathan0.8
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nathan1.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nathan21.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Line Break Assists

4.9per game · league avg 3.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At AAMI Park0.0(2)-0.9
Everywhere else0.9(107)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(9)-0.5
Dry games0.9(100)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.