P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Moses Leota
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
35.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
35.9
L5
33.4
L10
34.5
High
60
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
24BRIMar 0631CROMar 1449SYDMar 2037PARMar 2828MELApr 0336CBYApr 0936DOLApr 17☂60NEWApr 2630MANMay 0340CBRMay 1041SGIMay 1737WARMay 3130WSTJun 0731GLDJun 2042NQLJun 2734SOUJul 0340BRIJul 16☂20PARJul 23?NQLJul 3035.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Moses102.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Moses0.8
NQL36.2
Tackles
Moses23.8
NQL338.9
Tries
Moses0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Moses0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Moses0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Moses0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Moses36.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium44.5(2)+8.6
Everywhere else35.9(136)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)32.3(10)-4.0
Dry games36.3(128)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.