P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Sommerton
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
1.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.2
L5
1.4
L10
1.2
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CROMar 072DOLMar 152NEWMay 173MANMay 230BRIJun 060WSTJun 14☂?MELJul 311.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke7.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Luke0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Luke5.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Luke0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Luke0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Luke0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Luke0.0
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Luke2.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park4.0(1)+0.7
Everywhere else3.3(19)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(2)+0.8
Dry games3.2(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.