P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Sommerton
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
6.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.7
L5
8.0
L10
6.7
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CROMar 0712DOLMar 1513NEWMay 1715MANMay 230BRIJun 060WSTJun 14☂?MELJul 316.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke7.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Luke0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Luke5.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Luke0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Luke0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Luke0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Luke0.0
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Luke2.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park30.0(1)+12.3
Everywhere else17.7(19)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)13.5(2)-5.4
Dry games18.9(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.