P
Current to Round 21, 2 days ago
PEN
Luke Sommerton
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
2.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.7
L5
3.2
L10
2.7
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CROMar 071DOLMar 152NEWMay 1713MANMay 230BRIJun 060WSTJun 14☂?MELJul 312.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 4.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke7.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Luke0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Luke5.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Luke0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Luke0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Luke0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Luke0.0
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Luke2.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park6.0(1)-1.3
Everywhere else7.3(19)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(2)+4.2
Dry games6.8(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.