P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Lindsay Smith
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
11.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.7
L5
13.4
L10
12.7
High
24
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
14BRIMar 0611CROMar 1410SYDMar 2012PARMar 2815MELApr 035CBYApr 0910DOLApr 17☂7NEWApr 2613MANMay 039CBRMay 1011SGIMay 1713WARMay 3114WSTJun 0716GLDJun 207NQLJun 2724SOUJul 0310BRIJul 16☂10PARJul 23?MELJul 3111.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Lindsay98.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Lindsay1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Lindsay29.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Lindsay0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Lindsay0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Lindsay0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Lindsay0.7
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Lindsay30.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park12.5(2)+0.8
Everywhere else11.7(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.7(6)+1.0
Dry games11.6(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.