Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Lindsay Smith

Penrith Panthers · @ WST

11.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

11.7

13.4

L10

12.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lindsayvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

98.1Run Metres1749.4

1.0Tackle Breaks33.3

29.1Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.7Offloads9.1

30.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Lindsay98.1

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Lindsay1.0

WST33.3

Tackles

Lindsay29.1

WST339.1

Tries

Lindsay0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Lindsay0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Lindsay0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Lindsay0.7

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Lindsay30.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium12.8(21)+1.4

Everywhere else11.4(80)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.7(6)+1.0

Dry games11.6(95)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.