P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Lindsay Smith
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
42.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
42.4
L5
54.8
L10
49.3
High
78
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
32BRIMar 0636CROMar 1441SYDMar 2041PARMar 2829MELApr 0335CBYApr 0932DOLApr 17☂24NEWApr 2643MANMay 0334CBRMay 1047SGIMay 1747WARMay 3148WSTJun 0778GLDJun 2031NQLJun 2776SOUJul 0347BRIJul 16☂42PARJul 23?MELJul 3142.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Lindsay98.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Lindsay1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Lindsay29.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Lindsay0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Lindsay0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Lindsay0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Lindsay0.7
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Lindsay30.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park42.5(2)+0.2
Everywhere else42.3(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)44.7(6)+2.5
Dry games42.1(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.