Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Lindsay Smith

Penrith Panthers · @ BRI

42.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

42.4

54.8

L10

49.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lindsayvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

98.1Run Metres1842.7

1.0Tackle Breaks31.7

29.1Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.7Offloads10.1

30.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Lindsay98.1

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Lindsay1.0

BRI31.7

Tackles

Lindsay29.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Lindsay0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Lindsay0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Lindsay0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Lindsay0.7

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Lindsay30.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium44.3(9)+2.2

Everywhere else42.1(92)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)44.7(6)+2.5

Dry games42.1(95)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.