P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Lindsay Smith
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
30.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
30.1
L5
34.2
L10
33.6
High
55
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
33BRIMar 0631CROMar 1421SYDMar 2040PARMar 2829MELApr 0311CBYApr 0926DOLApr 1715NEWApr 2644MANMay 0321CBRMay 1030SGIMay 1740WARMay 3130WSTJun 0746GLDJun 2017NQLJun 2755SOUJul 0329BRIJul 1624PARJul 23?MELJul 3130.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Lindsay98.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Lindsay1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Lindsay29.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Lindsay0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Lindsay0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Lindsay0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Lindsay0.7
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Lindsay30.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park26.0(2)-6.8
Everywhere else32.8(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)31.7(6)-1.1
Dry games32.7(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.