P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Lindsay Smith
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
22% (4/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.0
L5
2.0
L10
1.4
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1BRIMar 061CROMar 141SYDMar 200PARMar 280MELApr 030CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂1NEWApr 261MANMay 030CBRMay 101SGIMay 170WARMay 312WSTJun 073GLDJun 200NQLJun 273SOUJul 031BRIJul 16☂3PARJul 23?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Lindsay98.1
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Lindsay1.0
NQL36.2
Tackles
Lindsay29.1
NQL338.9
Tries
Lindsay0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Lindsay0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Lindsay0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Lindsay0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Lindsay30.1
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.2(5)
Everywhere else1.2(96)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(6)-0.2
Dry games1.2(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.