P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Lindsay Smith
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
29.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
29.1
L5
32.6
L10
31.4
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16BRIMar 0627CROMar 1433SYDMar 2024PARMar 2821MELApr 0334CBYApr 0932DOLApr 17☂22NEWApr 2631MANMay 0328CBRMay 1036SGIMay 1738WARMay 3118WSTJun 0744GLDJun 2023NQLJun 2739SOUJul 0334BRIJul 16☂23PARJul 23?MELJul 3129.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Lindsay98.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Lindsay1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Lindsay29.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Lindsay0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Lindsay0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Lindsay0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Lindsay0.7
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Lindsay30.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park33.0(2)+3.5
Everywhere else29.5(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)35.0(6)+5.8
Dry games29.2(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.