P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Scott Sorensen
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
78.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
78.8
L5
91.0
L10
90.4
High
133
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
74BRIMar 0622CROMar 14102SYDMar 2061PARMar 2869MELApr 0355CBYApr 0957DOLApr 17☂75NEWApr 2684MANMay 0347CBRMay 10105SGIMay 1781WARMay 31132WSTJun 0765GLDJun 2052NQLJun 27133SOUJul 03100BRIJul 16☂105PARJul 23?NQLJul 3078.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Scott78.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Scott0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Scott23.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Scott0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Scott0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Scott0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Scott0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Scott27.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium70.3(3)-19.1
Everywhere else89.4(115)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)83.8(9)-5.6
Dry games89.4(109)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.