P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Scott Sorensen
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
0.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
22% (4/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.2
L10
0.3
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 143SYDMar 200PARMar 280MELApr 032CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂0NEWApr 260MANMay 030CBRMay 100SGIMay 170WARMay 312WSTJun 070GLDJun 200NQLJun 271SOUJul 030BRIJul 16☂0PARJul 23?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Scott78.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Scott0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Scott23.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Scott0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Scott0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Scott0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Scott0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Scott27.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.7(3)+0.8
Everywhere else0.9(115)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(9)-0.3
Dry games0.9(109)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.