Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Brad Schneider

Canberra Raiders · @ SGI

5.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

5.4

9.0

L10

7.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Bradvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

39.7Run Metres1917.7

0.9Tackle Breaks30.6

17.3Tackles343.1

0.1Tries5.2

0.3Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks6.0

0.1Offloads8.5

8.5Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Brad39.7

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Brad0.9

SGI30.6

Tackles

Brad17.3

SGI343.1

Tries

Brad0.1

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Brad0.3

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Brad0.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Brad0.1

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Brad8.5

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium2.0(1)-3.1

Everywhere else5.1(72)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(6)-1.5

Dry games5.1(67)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.