Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

Liam Henry

Penrith Panthers · @ GLD

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (4/9)

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Avg

12.9

12.4

L10

12.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

121.9Run Metres1822.7

1.3Tackle Breaks33.8

32.4Tackles340.9

0.2Tries4.6

0.1Try Assists3.9

0.4Line Breaks4.8

0.0Offloads11.1

39.6Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Liam121.9

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Liam1.3

GLD33.8

Tackles

Liam32.4

GLD340.9

Tries

Liam0.2

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Liam0.1

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Liam0.4

GLD4.8

Offloads

Liam0.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Liam39.6

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Runs

194.6per game · league avg 186.4

#3 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Cbus Super Stadium11.5(2)+1.5

Everywhere else10.0(60)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.6(5)-2.7

Dry games10.3(57)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.