Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

Liam Henry

Penrith Panthers · @ BRI

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (4/9)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.9

12.4

L10

12.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

121.9Run Metres1842.7

1.3Tackle Breaks31.7

32.4Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.4Line Breaks4.7

0.0Offloads10.1

39.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Liam121.9

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Liam1.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Liam32.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Liam0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Liam0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Liam0.4

BRI4.7

Offloads

Liam0.0

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Liam39.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium9.6(5)-0.5

Everywhere else10.1(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.6(5)-2.7

Dry games10.3(57)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.