Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

Liam Henry

Penrith Panthers · @ BRI

46.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

44% (4/9)

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Avg

46.4

L10

46.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

121.9Run Metres1842.7

1.3Tackle Breaks31.7

32.4Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.4Line Breaks4.7

0.0Offloads10.1

39.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Liam121.9

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Liam1.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Liam32.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Liam0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Liam0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Liam0.4

BRI4.7

Offloads

Liam0.0

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Liam39.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium39.4(5)+1.6

Everywhere else37.8(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)38.8(5)+0.9

Dry games37.9(57)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.