Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

Liam Henry

Penrith Panthers · @ GLD

32.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

56% (5/9)

enter odds to compare

Avg

32.4

30.0

L10

32.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

121.9Run Metres1822.7

1.3Tackle Breaks33.8

32.4Tackles340.9

0.2Tries4.6

0.1Try Assists3.9

0.4Line Breaks4.8

0.0Offloads11.1

39.6Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Liam121.9

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Liam1.3

GLD33.8

Tackles

Liam32.4

GLD340.9

Tries

Liam0.2

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Liam0.1

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Liam0.4

GLD4.8

Offloads

Liam0.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Liam39.6

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackles

340.9per game · league avg 345.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Cbus Super Stadium33.0(2)+5.1

Everywhere else27.9(60)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)31.8(5)+4.1

Dry games27.7(57)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.