Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Isaiah Papali'i

Wests Tigers · vs PAR

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

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Avg

1.5

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs PAR

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Isaiahvs all playersStatPAR concedePer game

123.2Run Metres1827.2

2.2Tackle Breaks39.3

33.2Tackles322.3

0.1Tries5.0

0.2Try Assists4.4

0.1Line Breaks6.4

1.5Offloads11.6

48.8Post Contact Metres598.1

Run Metres

Isaiah123.2

PAR1827.2

Tackle Breaks

Isaiah2.2

PAR39.3

Tackles

Isaiah33.2

PAR322.3

Tries

Isaiah0.1

PAR5.0

Try Assists

Isaiah0.2

PAR4.4

Line Breaks

Isaiah0.1

PAR6.4

Offloads

Isaiah1.5

PAR11.6

Post Contact Metres

Isaiah48.8

PAR598.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PAR concede · Offloads

11.6per game · league avg 9.8

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At CommBank Stadium1.5(37)+0.5

Everywhere else1.0(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(11)-0.6

Dry games1.2(121)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.