P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Garner
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
72.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
72.5
L5
66.0
L10
69.2
High
173
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
132BRIMar 0665CROMar 1455SYDMar 2063PARMar 2880MELApr 0369CBYApr 0999DOLApr 17☂91NEWApr 2677MANMay 0326CBRMay 1069SGIMay 1751WARMay 310WSTJun 07173GLDJun 2037NQLJun 27?NQLJul 3072.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke72.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Luke1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Luke21.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Luke0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Luke0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Luke0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Luke0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Luke27.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium58.8(5)-13.3
Everywhere else72.1(108)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)41.0(3)-31.4
Dry games72.4(110)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.