P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Garner
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
27.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
67% (10/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
27.7
L5
24.2
L10
26.1
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
32BRIMar 0634CROMar 1430SYDMar 2030PARMar 2829MELApr 0324CBYApr 0942DOLApr 1730NEWApr 2633MANMay 0311CBRMay 1035SGIMay 1723WARMay 310WSTJun 0744GLDJun 2019NQLJun 27?NQLJul 3027.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke72.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Luke1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Luke21.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Luke0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Luke0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Luke0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Luke0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Luke27.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium22.4(5)-5.1
Everywhere else27.5(108)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)17.7(3)-9.9
Dry games27.5(110)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.