P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Garner
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.6
L5
1.8
L10
1.4
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 202PARMar 283MELApr 031CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂2NEWApr 261MANMay 031CBRMay 102SGIMay 173WARMay 310WSTJun 073GLDJun 201NQLJun 27?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke72.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Luke1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Luke21.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Luke0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Luke0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Luke0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Luke0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Luke27.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.0(5)+0.1
Everywhere else1.9(108)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-2.0
Dry games2.0(110)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.