P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Luke Garner
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
21.5 TKO U
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
21.3
L5
17.6
L10
21.0
High
38
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
23BRIMar 0638CROMar 1419SYDMar 206PARMar 2824MELApr 0315CBYApr 0930DOLApr 1727NEWApr 2622MANMay 0328CBRMay 1014SGIMay 1731WARMay 310WSTJun 0716GLDJun 2027NQLJun 27?MELJul 3121.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luke72.5
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Luke1.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Luke21.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Luke0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Luke0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Luke0.3
MEL6.3
Offloads
Luke0.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Luke27.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park19.0(2)-2.5
Everywhere else21.5(111)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(3)-7.3
Dry games21.7(110)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.