Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NEW

Thomas Jenkins

Newcastle Knights · @ BRI

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

5.4

6.6

L10

6.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Thomasvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

187.2Run Metres1842.7

3.7Tackle Breaks31.7

5.4Tackles323.2

1.4Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

1.4Line Breaks4.7

0.8Offloads10.1

51.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Thomas187.2

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Thomas3.7

BRI31.7

Tackles

Thomas5.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Thomas1.4

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Thomas0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Thomas1.4

BRI4.7

Offloads

Thomas0.8

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Thomas51.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium7.3(4)+1.4

Everywhere else5.8(48)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(5)+1.2

Dry games5.8(47)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.