Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Reed Mahoney

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ BRI

3.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

3.5

2.2

L10

3.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Reedvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

28.6Run Metres1842.7

0.7Tackle Breaks31.7

35.0Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.3Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

5.4Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Reed28.6

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Reed0.7

BRI31.7

Tackles

Reed35.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Reed0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Reed0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Reed0.3

BRI4.7

Offloads

Reed0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Reed5.4

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium4.6(12)+0.1

Everywhere else4.5(125)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.9(10)-0.7

Dry games4.6(127)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.