Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Reed Mahoney

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ SGI

35.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

35.0

29.2

L10

34.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Reedvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

28.6Run Metres1917.7

0.7Tackle Breaks30.6

35.0Tackles343.1

0.2Tries5.2

0.2Try Assists3.8

0.3Line Breaks6.0

0.1Offloads8.5

5.4Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Reed28.6

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Reed0.7

SGI30.6

Tackles

Reed35.0

SGI343.1

Tries

Reed0.2

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Reed0.2

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Reed0.3

SGI6.0

Offloads

Reed0.1

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Reed5.4

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium48.0(1)+6.2

Everywhere else41.8(136)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)43.3(10)+1.5

Dry games41.8(127)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.