P
Current to Round 21, today
BRI
Adam Reynolds
Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL
39.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
69% (9/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
39.8
L5
41.2
L10
39.4
High
65
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13PENMar 0665PARMar 1246DOLMar 2718GLDApr 0458WSTApr 1857CBYApr 248SYDMay 0247WARMay 1744SGIMay 3144GLDJun 0642SOUJun 1142PENJul 16☂34NQLJul 25?NQLJul 3039.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Adam51.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Adam1.0
NQL36.2
Tackles
Adam16.2
NQL338.9
Tries
Adam0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Adam0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Adam0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Adam0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Adam7.8
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium53.5(4)+4.6
Everywhere else48.9(112)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)57.1(9)+8.7
Dry games48.4(107)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.