Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Xavier Willison

Brisbane Broncos · @ WST

13.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

13.9

14.8

L10

15.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Xaviervs all playersStatWST concedePer game

130.6Run Metres1749.4

1.9Tackle Breaks33.3

34.2Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

0.5Offloads9.1

58.6Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Xavier130.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Xavier1.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Xavier34.2

WST339.1

Tries

Xavier0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Xavier0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Xavier0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Xavier0.5

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Xavier58.6

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium16.0(2)+5.4

Everywhere else10.6(68)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.4(5)+2.8

Dry games10.6(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.