AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke McDonald
Luke McDonald
North Melbourne · vs STK
15.5 DIO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
15.5
L5
14.0
L10
14.2
High
25
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
20PORMar 1512WCEMar 2218ESSMar 2818CARApr 0315BRIApr 1125RICApr 1914GWSApr 2617GEEMay 0216SYDMay 0914ADEMay 169GCSMay 2316FREJun 0617WCEJun 1316RICJun 2115PORJul 0515COLJul 107MELJul 18?STKJul 2615.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke15.5
STK379.3
Kicks
Luke10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Luke5.5
STK100.9
Tackles
Luke1.9
STK50.0
Clearances
Luke0.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Luke1.2
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Luke3.2
STK123.7
Goals
Luke0.1
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Disposals

379.3per game · league avg 369.3
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands15.0(25)+0.2
Everywhere else14.8(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(2)-2.0
Dry games15.0(52)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.