AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke McDonald
Luke McDonald
North Melbourne · vs STK
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
1.0
L10
0.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0PORMar 151WCEMar 221ESSMar 281CARApr 032BRIApr 110RICApr 190GWSApr 262GEEMay 020SYDMay 090ADEMay 160GCSMay 230FREJun 061WCEJun 133RICJun 210PORJul 051COLJul 100MELJul 18?STKJul 260.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke15.5
STK379.3
Kicks
Luke10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Luke5.5
STK100.9
Tackles
Luke1.9
STK50.0
Clearances
Luke0.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Luke1.2
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Luke3.2
STK123.7
Goals
Luke0.1
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.5(25)-0.4
Everywhere else0.9(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.7
Dry games0.7(52)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.