AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke McDonald
Luke McDonald
North Melbourne · vs STK
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.5
L5
5.8
L10
5.6
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6PORMar 152WCEMar 225ESSMar 284CARApr 034BRIApr 119RICApr 197GWSApr 269GEEMay 024SYDMay 095ADEMay 163GCSMay 236FREJun 069WCEJun 136RICJun 219PORJul 053COLJul 102MELJul 18?STKJul 265.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke15.5
STK379.3
Kicks
Luke10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Luke5.5
STK100.9
Tackles
Luke1.9
STK50.0
Clearances
Luke0.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Luke1.2
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Luke3.2
STK123.7
Goals
Luke0.1
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Handballs

158.9per game · league avg 155.5
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.1(25)-0.3
Everywhere else5.4(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-0.8
Dry games5.3(52)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.