Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Jahrome Hughes

Melbourne Storm · vs CBY

11.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

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Avg

11.3

10.8

L10

10.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs CBY

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jahromevs all playersStatCBY concedePer game

89.1Run Metres1567.8

2.7Tackle Breaks33.7

15.3Tackles358.3

0.2Tries3.9

1.4Try Assists3.0

0.4Line Breaks4.0

0.8Offloads9.3

16.3Post Contact Metres511.3

Run Metres

Jahrome89.1

CBY1567.8

Tackle Breaks

Jahrome2.7

CBY33.7

Tackles

Jahrome15.3

CBY358.3

Tries

Jahrome0.2

CBY3.9

Try Assists

Jahrome1.4

CBY3.0

Line Breaks

Jahrome0.4

CBY4.0

Offloads

Jahrome0.8

CBY9.3

Post Contact Metres

Jahrome16.3

CBY511.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CBY concede · Runs

181.4per game · league avg 186.4

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park11.9(55)+0.5

Everywhere else11.3(71)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.8(8)-0.9

Dry games11.6(118)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.