Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Toby Pink

North Melbourne · @ HAW

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

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Avg

0.4

L10

0.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tobyvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

12.2Disposals355.0

7.6Kicks205.1

5.0Marks81.7

0.8Tackles60.8

0.0Clearances34.2

1.2Inside 50s51.3

3.0Contested Poss.127.8

0.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Toby12.2

HAW355.0

Kicks

Toby7.6

HAW205.1

Marks

Toby5.0

HAW81.7

Tackles

Toby0.8

HAW60.8

Clearances

Toby0.0

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Toby1.2

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Toby3.0

HAW127.8

Goals

Toby0.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park1.0(2)+0.3

Everywhere else0.7(35)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)+1.9

Dry games0.6(35)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.