Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Harry Sheezel

North Melbourne · @ HAW

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

4.9

7.0

L10

5.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harryvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

31.7Disposals355.0

15.4Kicks205.1

6.7Marks81.7

4.9Tackles60.8

4.7Clearances34.2

4.6Inside 50s51.3

10.3Contested Poss.127.8

0.4Goals12.3

Disposals

Harry31.7

HAW355.0

Kicks

Harry15.4

HAW205.1

Marks

Harry6.7

HAW81.7

Tackles

Harry4.9

HAW60.8

Clearances

Harry4.7

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Harry4.6

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Harry10.3

HAW127.8

Goals

Harry0.4

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park4.0(2)+0.1

Everywhere else3.9(83)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(5)-0.2

Dry games4.0(80)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.