Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Jack Wighton

Canberra Raiders · @ MEL

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (6/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.5

13.4

L10

13.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

109.7Run Metres1701.7

2.0Tackle Breaks33.0

11.5Tackles338.8

0.3Tries4.4

0.3Try Assists3.6

0.3Line Breaks6.3

0.3Offloads9.9

34.9Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Jack109.7

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Jack2.0

MEL33.0

Tackles

Jack11.5

MEL338.8

Tries

Jack0.3

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Jack0.3

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Jack0.3

MEL6.3

Offloads

Jack0.3

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Jack34.9

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4

#5 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park12.5(6)+0.3

Everywhere else12.2(106)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.9(8)-1.4

Dry games12.3(104)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.