Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Sean Keppie

Manly Sea Eagles · @ SGI

0.5 TO —U —

Hit rate

8% (1/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.1

0.2

L10

0.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Seanvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

70.1Run Metres1917.7

0.8Tackle Breaks30.6

21.9Tackles343.1

0.1Tries5.2

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks6.0

0.3Offloads8.5

23.2Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Sean70.1

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Sean0.8

SGI30.6

Tackles

Sean21.9

SGI343.1

Tries

Sean0.1

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Sean0.0

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Sean0.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Sean0.3

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Sean23.2

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tries

5.2per game · league avg 4.1

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tries

At WIN Stadium0.3(3)+0.3

Everywhere else0.0(110)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tries

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(10)+0.1

Dry games0.0(103)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.