Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Davvy Moale

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

3.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

54% (7/13)

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Avg

3.5

5.8

L10

4.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Davvyvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

31.8Run Metres1842.7

0.3Tackle Breaks31.7

9.7Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.0Line Breaks4.7

0.0Offloads10.1

12.2Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Davvy31.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Davvy0.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Davvy9.7

BRI323.2

Tries

Davvy0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Davvy0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Davvy0.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Davvy0.0

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Davvy12.2

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium7.8(11)+0.4

Everywhere else7.4(78)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.7(7)-1.9

Dry games7.6(82)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.