Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Tallis Duncan

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

3.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

3.5

5.0

L10

4.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tallisvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

134.2Run Metres1842.7

3.5Tackle Breaks31.7

26.0Tackles323.2

0.5Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.7Line Breaks4.7

0.8Offloads10.1

47.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Tallis134.2

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Tallis3.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Tallis26.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Tallis0.5

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Tallis0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Tallis0.7

BRI4.7

Offloads

Tallis0.8

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Tallis47.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium3.6(7)+1.3

Everywhere else2.2(64)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(6)+1.2

Dry games2.3(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.