Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Liam Le Blanc

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ GLD

3.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

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Avg

3.2

3.4

L10

3.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

26.6Run Metres1822.7

0.1Tackle Breaks33.8

9.3Tackles340.9

0.0Tries4.6

0.0Try Assists3.9

0.0Line Breaks4.8

0.1Offloads11.1

11.1Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Liam26.6

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Liam0.1

GLD33.8

Tackles

Liam9.3

GLD340.9

Tries

Liam0.0

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Liam0.0

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Liam0.0

GLD4.8

Offloads

Liam0.1

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Liam11.1

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Runs

194.6per game · league avg 186.4

#3 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Cbus Super Stadium7.0(1)+3.3

Everywhere else3.7(36)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-3.4

Dry games3.9(35)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.