P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Jake Averillo
Dolphins · @ MEL
14.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.0
L5
12.0
L10
14.0
High
22
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8SOUMar 08☂16GLDMar 1520CROMar 2122BRIMar 2711MANApr 0220PENApr 17☂6WARApr 2515NEWJul 05☂8CROJul 11?MELJul 3114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jake162.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Jake2.2
MEL33.0
Tackles
Jake13.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Jake0.7
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Jake0.4
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Jake0.8
MEL6.3
Offloads
Jake0.8
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Jake35.6
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park8.7(3)-2.6
Everywhere else11.2(120)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.9(13)+0.8
Dry games11.1(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.