Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Jake Averillo

Dolphins · @ BRI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

56% (5/9)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.0

12.0

L10

14.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

162.3Run Metres1842.7

2.2Tackle Breaks31.7

13.7Tackles323.2

0.7Tries4.3

0.4Try Assists3.2

0.8Line Breaks4.7

0.8Offloads10.1

35.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Jake162.3

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Jake2.2

BRI31.7

Tackles

Jake13.7

BRI323.2

Tries

Jake0.7

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Jake0.4

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Jake0.8

BRI4.7

Offloads

Jake0.8

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Jake35.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium11.9(28)+1.0

Everywhere else11.0(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.9(13)+0.8

Dry games11.1(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.