P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Jake Averillo
Dolphins · @ MEL
35.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
35.6
L5
28.2
L10
35.6
High
64
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
19SOUMar 08☂52GLDMar 1544CROMar 2164BRIMar 2718MANApr 0261PENApr 17☂10WARApr 2539NEWJul 05☂13CROJul 11?MELJul 3135.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jake162.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Jake2.2
MEL33.0
Tackles
Jake13.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Jake0.7
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Jake0.4
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Jake0.8
MEL6.3
Offloads
Jake0.8
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Jake35.6
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park32.7(3)+8.7
Everywhere else24.0(120)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)27.5(13)+3.7
Dry games23.8(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.