Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Jake Averillo

Dolphins · @ WST

13.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

56% (5/9)

enter odds to compare

Avg

13.7

13.8

L10

13.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

162.3Run Metres1749.4

2.2Tackle Breaks33.3

13.7Tackles339.1

0.7Tries5.3

0.4Try Assists4.6

0.8Line Breaks6.6

0.8Offloads9.1

35.6Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jake162.3

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jake2.2

WST33.3

Tackles

Jake13.7

WST339.1

Tries

Jake0.7

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jake0.4

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jake0.8

WST6.6

Offloads

Jake0.8

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jake35.6

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackles

339.1per game · league avg 345.6

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium11.6(11)+0.4

Everywhere else11.3(112)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)11.5(13)+0.2

Dry games11.3(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.