Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Herbie Farnworth

Dolphins · @ BRI

17.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

17.1

15.6

L10

16.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Herbievs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

159.7Run Metres1842.7

6.9Tackle Breaks31.7

15.1Tackles323.2

0.5Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

3.2Offloads10.1

56.3Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Herbie159.7

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Herbie6.9

BRI31.7

Tackles

Herbie15.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Herbie0.5

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Herbie0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Herbie0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Herbie3.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Herbie56.3

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium16.1(59)+0.5

Everywhere else15.5(55)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)18.2(12)+2.6

Dry games15.5(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.