Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Herbie Farnworth

Dolphins · @ NQL

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.9

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Herbievs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

159.7Run Metres1759.5

6.9Tackle Breaks36.2

15.1Tackles338.9

0.5Tries4.5

0.2Try Assists3.8

0.6Line Breaks5.8

3.2Offloads10.1

56.3Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Herbie159.7

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Herbie6.9

NQL36.2

Tackles

Herbie15.1

NQL338.9

Tries

Herbie0.5

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Herbie0.2

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Herbie0.6

NQL5.8

Offloads

Herbie3.2

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Herbie56.3

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Points

24.7per game · league avg 23.5

#7 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.0(4)-1.2

Everywhere else2.2(110)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)1.7(12)-0.5

Dry games2.2(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.