P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Herbie Farnworth
Dolphins · @ MEL
56.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
56.3
L5
53.6
L10
58.2
High
99
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
57SOUMar 0846GLDMar 1533CROMar 2172BRIMar 2740MANApr 0262PENApr 1765WARApr 2599MELMay 0150CBYMay 0762SOUMay 1553NQLJun 0650SYDJun 1265WSTJun 2058WARJun 2757NEWJul 0537CROJul 1151NQLJul 19?MELJul 3156.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Herbie159.7
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Herbie6.9
MEL33.0
Tackles
Herbie15.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Herbie0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Herbie0.2
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Herbie0.6
MEL6.3
Offloads
Herbie3.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Herbie56.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park37.3(3)-19.0
Everywhere else56.3(111)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)67.6(12)+13.2
Dry games54.4(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.