Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Herbie Farnworth

Dolphins · @ GLD

15.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

59% (10/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

15.1

16.4

L10

14.9

High

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Herbievs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

159.7Run Metres1822.7

6.9Tackle Breaks33.8

15.1Tackles340.9

0.5Tries4.6

0.2Try Assists3.9

0.6Line Breaks4.8

3.2Offloads11.1

56.3Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Herbie159.7

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Herbie6.9

GLD33.8

Tackles

Herbie15.1

GLD340.9

Tries

Herbie0.5

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Herbie0.2

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Herbie0.6

GLD4.8

Offloads

Herbie3.2

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Herbie56.3

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackles

340.9per game · league avg 345.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Cbus Super Stadium11.0(4)-2.1

Everywhere else13.1(110)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)12.8(12)-0.2

Dry games13.0(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.