Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Jeremy Marshall-King

Dolphins · @ NQL

4.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (5/10)

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Avg

4.6

4.4

L10

4.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jeremyvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

44.6Run Metres1759.5

0.8Tackle Breaks36.2

37.1Tackles338.9

0.2Tries4.5

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.3Line Breaks5.8

0.7Offloads10.1

14.5Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Jeremy44.6

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Jeremy0.8

NQL36.2

Tackles

Jeremy37.1

NQL338.9

Tries

Jeremy0.2

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Jeremy0.0

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Jeremy0.3

NQL5.8

Offloads

Jeremy0.7

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Jeremy14.5

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Runs

184.6per game · league avg 186.4

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium6.8(5)+1.1

Everywhere else5.7(89)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.4(11)-0.4

Dry games5.8(83)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.